Posted by: portersprospectreport | June 11, 2008

6/10 AA Prospect Report

Here’s the rundown from a light night in AA baseball…

Brad Corley 1-5 HR(6) RBI—Productive power hitter who needs to develop better plate discipline to advance further
Michael Daniel 2-5 R RBI SB(11)—Should go 20-20 at AA this season
Travis Snider 3-4 2R RBI BB—Multiple hits in 4 of the last 5 games (AA average up to .274)
Wes Hodges 4-5 2 RBI R—Average up to .313
Kris Johnson 5.1IP 4H 3BB 2K (ND)—3-3 4.00 ERA 44K/63IP
Max Ramirez 1-3 HR(15) 3 RBI 2R 3BB—Great game for great hitter
Steve Murphy 2-5 HR(9) RBI R—.287 43 RBI .509 SLG
Brett Hayes 1-4 HR(5) RBI R—.353 2 HR 5 RBI last 10 games
Kyle Blanks 1-5 HR(5) RBI—Did my last blog entry provoke him to poke one out?
Eli Iorg 2-4 HR(8) RBI—Too many tools to be struggling at AA (.243 BA)
Shane Robinson 2-4 HR(4) 2 RBI 2R—.377 4 HR 30 RBI 12 SB (Polished top of the order hitter)

Analysis:

travis-snider.jpg

How nice is it to see Travis Snider adjusting to AA pitching? After a horrendous start (52 K’s in first 2 months), Snider is hitting .385 in his last 10 games, though he has no homeruns during that stretch. Snider has as much hitting potential as any other prospect in the minor leagues, but his bulky 5-10 245 lb. frame and hard-nosed play may contribute to injuries down the road. I think that, while he possesses the tools to be an average corner outfielder, his future would be best served as a left-handed 1B. Due to his slow start, his 2006 Bowman Chrome Draft first year cards sell for $3-4 right now, which is down about $1 from what they sold for at the end of last season. Refractors has sold for about $20-$24, which, if he stays injury free, could also be a solid price. Personally, my favorite auctions of his to target, are the ones where sellers sell a couple of chromes and a slew of regular or gold cards in a lot. Final prices tend to end just above what the chromes alone would have sold for, meaning that you get the regular and gold cards for next to nothing. When Snider arrives in Toronto next season, all of his cards will be popular.

wes-hodges.jpg

Wes Hodges entered the season ranked by Baseball America as the Cleveland Indians’ 4th best prospect. At Akron this season, he has lived up to the billing hitting .314 with 7 HR and 47 RBI. Hodges and ’07 1st round pick Beau Mills are competing for the 3rd base job in Cleveland with Hodges, in my opinion, having the advantage with Mills moving to 1st base. Hodges is a hard-working medium-ceiling prospect who profiles to be a 15-20 HR hitter in the major leagues. At the hot corner, this seems to be merely average and not worth a long-term investment in his cards. Hodges’ first year cards can be found in the 2007 Bowman Chrome Draft products. Hodges’ cards were autographed redemption cards, which intrigue me because it is always unclear just how many cards are going to be redeemed. By the time that Hodges reaches the Indians (sometime near the middle or end of next season) the market will tell us more of just what kind of supply there is for his autos. Currently, his regular chrome issues sell for $10-12, a bargain, and refractors can be found for $20-$25. Bowman Chrome Draft autographs always seem to gather a glut of attention from collectors when the players featured on the cards approach the major leagues. While I do not see Hodges having the long term value of more elite prospects, he could provide a quick bang for the buck. I would grab a handful of his chrome autos now before they hit the $20 range.

 

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