Posted by: portersprospectreport | June 17, 2008

6/15 AA Minor League Report

Ryan Patterson

  • 2-5 HR(11) RBI—Patterson is repeating AA this year with mildly better success

 

Austin Jackson

  • 1-5 HR(6) RBI—Jackson is only 21 and has shown improved plate discipline and decent power

 

George Kontos

  • 5 IP 7R (2ER) 5BB 8K—Up and down season for Yankees SP prospect (2-6 3.39 ERA 75K/77IP)

 

Lou Marson

  • 2-3 2R 2BB—.356 2 HR 35 RBI 42BB/39 K (Big step forward this season)

 

Erik Lis

  • 2-5 2B RBI—.299 5 HR 29 RBI 27 2B (18 HR 97 RBI last season)

 

Michael Daniel

  • 1-3 HR(7) 2 RBI BB—.328 29 RBI 11 SB this season

 

David Hernandez

  • 6 IP 1H 5BB 5K (W)—5-1 3.07 ERA 83K/70 IP (168K/145.1IP in ’07)

 

Kris Johnson

  • 6 IP 5H 2ER 3BB 7K (W)—Back to back good outings for Boston southpaw

 

Angel Salome

  • 2-4 RBI R—Simmering a bit over last 10 games (.257 7 RBI)

 

Jamie Hoffmann

  • 1-3 HR(4) 3 RBI—3 HR 11 RBI last 10 games (Intriguing prospect)

 

Max Ramirez

  • 2-3 2B R 2BB—Walk rate improving over last 10 games 8BB/5K

 

Elvis Andrus

  • 1-5 HR(1) 2RBI—Struggled last 10 games (.229 Avg but 10 runs and 8 SB)

Dexter Fowler

  • 2-4 2 2B  2 RBI R BB—.313 6 HR 37 RBI 14 SB (.488 21 H 10 2B 9 RBI last 10 games)

 

Eli Iorg

  • 3-4 3B R—Toolsy OF with good bloodlines but progressing slowly (.249 8 HR 28 RBI 11 SB)

 

Buy/Sell Analysis:

Lou Marson was a 4th round selection by the Phillies out of high school in 2004.  After 3 mediocre seasons, Marson stepped out last year to hit .288 with 7 HR and 63 RBI.  Along with the improvement at the plate, Marson’s game also improved behind the dish.  This season, Marson has torn it up at AA hitting .356 with a stellar .469 OBP.  Marson has a line drive stroke and a smooth, easy swing.  Although he is in his 5th season in the minor leagues, Marson will only be 22 years old and there is still reason to believe that he can develop double digit power numbers.  It will be interesting to see if the Phillies decide to promote him to AAA.  Marson’s best card is in the 2004 SP Prospects set.  He has an auto that is serial #’ed to 550.  There have not been many on Ebay within the last 2 weeks, and the market data that I have show that they are selling for about $20 each.  Marson also has cards in the 2004 Bowman Draft and Chrome, with the chrome versions selling for about $1 each.  Marson in my opinion, has the most upside of any catchers in the Phillies organization and, if he develops his line drive stroke into more power, he could hit 15-20 HR’s in the hitter-friendly confines of Citizen’s Bank Ballpark.

Market Advice:  Buy a batch of ’04 chrome RC’s, sell the SP Prospects Auto if it reaches $30.

 

Jamie Hoffmann is the “under the radar” prospect that card speculators like me love.  Hoffmann didn’t even appear on Baseball America’s top 30 L.A. Dodger prospects list for the 2008 season.  That being said, he is a 6-4 230lb. converted 3B who can play any outfield position.  Hoffmann hit .309 last season at High A Inland Empire with 9 HR 81 RBI and 19 SB.  His statline evokes thoughts of Milwaukee Brewer OF Corey Hart.  Similar to Hart, I think that Hoffmann’s power production will increase as he continues to progress through the Dodgers’ farm system.  It will have to, as Hoffmann, while very athletic, probably has a future as a corner OF at the ML level.  Hoffmann has cards in the 2006 Bowman and Chrome prospects and Bowman Heritage.  As he is not well known or highly regarded, Hoffmann’s cards can be attained for very cheap prices and in bulk.  Note that on his cards, Hoffmann’s name is misspelled (only one ‘N’) which could cause confusion in Ebay searches.  I would grab refractors of all kinds as they are all serial #’ed and can be found for cheap.  Hoffmann is really about two years away, but I think he will find his way onto the Dodgers’ top propsect chart this season.

Market Advice: BUY BUY BUY, especially the serial #’ed versions and chromes.  Hoffmann will continue to improve and devlop his power. 

 

 

 

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