Posted by: portersprospectreport | June 18, 2008

6/15 High A Report

Josh Reddick

  • 2-6 2B 3B RBI—Having a great season at Lancaster, his first cards will be popular

 

Julio Borbon

  • 4-4 HR(2) RBI 2 SB(33)—Projects to a 10-20 HR top of the order hitter, speed is ML ready

 

Tim Alderson

  • 7 IP 4H BB 4K—Fine season for Sandy’s kid (6-3 2.84 ERA 63K/76IP)

 

Sean Doolittle

  • 2-4 HR(16) RBI 2R BB—.332 53 RBI (81 K’s will need to be cut down at AA)

 

Brett Anderson

  • 7 IP 3H ER 7K—4th straight good outing after disasterous 3 start stretch

 

Troy Tulowitzki

  • 1-2 2B 2R 4BB—Tulo hitting .400 during his rehab stint, no need for Rockies to rush him

 

Carlos Peguero

  • 1-4 3 RBi—60 RBI but plate discipline of a T-Baller (9BB/83K)

 

Cedric Hunter

  • 3-5 2B 2R—.313 with 90 hits already 4 HR 39 RBI 31BB/25K

 

Brandon Allen

  • 2-4 HR(12) RBI 2R BB—.289 37 RBI 9 SB .920 OPS

 

Jake Arietta

  • 5.2 IP 8H 2ER BB 8K (ND)—5-2 2.72 ERA 82K/79.1 IP

 

Buy/Sell Analysis:

Brett Anderson was a 2007 2nd round selection of the Arizona Diamondbacksout of an Oklahoma HS, who was then traded to the Oakland A’s in the blockbuster Dan Haren deal.  Anderson has a big workhorse-like frame and advanced command of his fastball, change, and two breaking pitches.  This season has been a bit up and down for the big southpaw.  In his last 10 outings he has won 3, then lost 3 (including an abysmal May 16th outing where he surrendered 8 runs in 0.1 innings), and then won another 3 games.  Anderson’s cards are in the 2007 Bowman Chrome set.  He also has his first auto (#’ed to 549) in the popular Elite Extra set.  The Elite Extra autos sell for between $15-20 and his first year chrome cards can be had for about 75 cents to $1.25 in bulk.  Refractors of his are popular sellers right now selling as low as $7-9 for the regular ones and $16-20 for X-Fractors.  My personal feelings on Anderson is that he will be a mid-rotation lefty starter and there are other arms in the system that are flashier (Trevor Cahill, Craig Italiano, Fautino de los Santos) than his.  That being said, he is a solid bet to be a SP for the A’s who just seem to funnel quality pitching into their rotation year after year. 

Market Advice: I don’t see his autos growing much higher than their prices right now.  If you can get $20 for them, I would sell and shift those bucks to someone with higher upside.  As for the chromes, a batch of them at the above prices would be solid values.  I would stick to purchasing about $10-20 worth of his stuff as a “just in case” investment.

Brandon Allen is a prospect that I was very excited about when he came out in the 2004 Bowman Draft and Chrome set.  With a 6-2 235lb. frame and linebacker-like speed, Allen seemed to be a masher in the making.  Subsequently, he struggled mightily over his first 3 seasons with terrible plate discipline and so-so power numbers.  Last season at Kannapolis, he seemed to begin to turn things around, hitting .283 with 18 HR and 93 RBI.  This season, at High A Winston-Salem, Allen has improved his numbers across the board hitting .289 12 HR 37 RBI and 9 SB.  He still strikes out quite a bit (60K/65 games), but the walks are also increasing (36 at the midway point, compared to 39 all of last year).  That being said, Allen, despite his athleticism, is not a good fielder and will likely be relagated to 1B or DH in the major leagues.  Allen has first year autographed cards in the 2004 SP Prospects, and regular cards in the Bowman Chrome and Draft sets.  His autos are numbered to 500 and can be had for around $10 each.  His chrome cards are not sold in bulk very often, but can be had for 50 cents each.  I like the fact that Allen has improved steadily.  He is still a long way from Chicago, but I think he will make it.  Expect 25-30 HR from him this year, which should open the eyes of many collectors.

Market Advice: This is a guy to buy!  Grab as many autos of his from the SP Prospects set at $10-15.  Remember, SP Prospects cards have crazy value once players get recognized by the rest of the collecting masses.  While his chromes are hard to find in en masse quantities, you may have some success by talking to online dealers that you purchase from and asking them to check their inventories for any chrome Allens.  If you can get refractor versions, that is a bonus.  I would buy them freely at 25-50 percent of book.

 

 

 

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