Posted by: portersprospectreport | June 24, 2008

6/23 AAA Minor League Report

Hello to all! 

I return from vacation refreshed and renewed.  Much has happened since my last post!  Several prospects have been promoted, some to the major leagues, and the short season teams have begun to play.

Let’s get to today’s significant performers.

 

Rob Johnson

  • 1-4 HR(4) 2 RBI—Where does he fit into Seattle’s catching picture?

 

Rich Robnett

  • 4-4 HR(2) RBI 3R 2B—.314 last 10 games 6BB/4K

 

Brandon Wood

  • 3-5 HR(11) 3B 3 RBI 3 R—8 Hits 7 RBI last 4 games

 

Dallas McPherson

  • 1-4 HR(25) RBI BB—HR’s in 4 straight games

 

Matt Downs

  • 2-4 2B— .298 15 HR 50 RBI 14 SB

 

Nelson Cruz

  • 2-4 HR(22) 5 RBI—Monster season for one-time hot prospect (.359 65 RBI)

 

Colby Rasmus

  • 2-3 HR(11) 2B RBI 2R BB SB(10)—.371 2 HR 9 RBI last 10

 

Clayton Richard

  • 6IP 5H 1ER 0K—3 straight wins @ AAA

 

Jeff Bailey

  • 3-4 2 2B 2R 3 RBI BB—.320 22 HR 57 RBI

 

J.A. Happ

  • 6IP 1H 2BB 9K (W)—5-6 3.73 ERA 99K/94IP

 

Juan Miranda

  • 2-4 2B RBI—.486 HR 9 RBI 18 Hits in last 10 games

BUY/SELL Analysis

2005 Bowman Chrome Draft Nelson Cruz

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nelson Cruz entered the 2007 season as a starter in the Texas Rangers outfield.  After hitting .235, Cruz was demoted to AAA Oklahoma where he tore the cover off of the ball, hitting .352 with 15 HR in 160 AB.  This season, Cruz has continued his torrid hitting and, seemingly, has earned an opportunity to be promoted to the Rangers again.  With the spectacular seasons from MIlton Bradley, Josh Hamilton, David Murphy, and the unexpected blessings from Brandon Boggs, Cruz has nowhere to play.  Cruz has RC’s in several 2005 products with SPX, SP Authentic, and Ultimate Collection being the premium autographed RC’s of his.  Currently, his autos sell for 40-50% of Beckett value and, from time to time, his other RC’s can be found in bulk lots.  My gut tells me that if, when, and where Cruz comes up again, he is going to have to produce big numbers immediately and significantly to catch the attention of collectors.

Market Advice: With so many RC’s in the ’05 products, only the autographs and short printed parallels (x-fractors, gold refractors, etc…) have any real enduring value.  I don’t see his cards getting much above 50% of Beckett value in the online market, which is significantly less than the upside of several other younger and more talented prospects.  If you have his autos, now is a great time to SELL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Juan Miranda was signed by the Yankees in 2006 to a 4 year contract for just over $2 million.  As is the case with many Cuban defectors, the true birthdate of Miranda is questionable.  Cuban documentation has him as being born in 1981, but the Yankees assert that he has a 1983 birthdate.  Regardless, Miranda profiles as a stocky left-handed 1st baseman who is all hitter and not much else.  Miranda has moved quickly through the Yankees farm system moving 3 levels through one and a half seasons and had a very successful 2007 Arizona Fall League season hitting .295 with 5 HR and 17 RBI.  Miranda has still not found a way to hit against LHP (.195 w/ 0 HR) and his glove and range is below average.  However, with Jason Giambi’s impending free-agency at the end of this season, it seems reasonable to assume that Miranda will get an audition by New York at some point this season.  All told, I would like to see him display the power he had in Arizona this past fall and get some hits off of LHP.  Miranda has cards in the 2007 Bowman Chrome Prospects and Bowman Heritage sets.  Currently, his chrome cards sell for 40-70 cents each and can be found in bulk lots on Ebay from time to time. 

Market Advice: Miranda profiles as a platoon player oscillating between 1B and DH.  He, by no means, is the long term option for a franchise like the Yankees.  However, he is a solid low risk, short term buy at his current prices who could see a spike in popularity if he strings together a couple of good performances in pinstripes.  I would BUY, but have them scanned and ready to sell once he makes his ML debut.

 

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