Posted by: portersprospectreport | July 20, 2008

7/18 Low Class A Minor League Report

Hello to all! After a sun drenched day of picking raspberries and looking at vintage cars, it feels good to cozy up to my keyboard and give you the minor league report for Friday’s Class A performances.

Kelvin De La Cruz

  • 6 IP 3H BB 8K—5-2 1.64 ERA 59K/55IP last 10 games


Matt Dominguez

  • 1-3 HR(6) RBI 2R BB—Has played well at Greensboro


Steffan Wilson

  • 2-4 2 2B 3 RBI R—.419 HR 18 RBI 18 Hits last 10 games


Michael Mitchell

  • 3-4 2R 2 SB(40)—.333 11R 7 SB last 10 games


Darin Holcomb

  • 1-3 2B R RBI—.340 39 2B 13 HR 75 RBI .968 OPS


Jeff Locke

  • 5 IP 7H 3 ER BB 5K—4-9 3.82 ERA 90K/113IP


Cody Johnson

  • 0-4 4K—.239 16 HR 54 RBI 138K/30BB (must change approach to advance)


Freddie Freeman

  • 2-4—.513 3 HR 12 RBI 20 Hits last 10 games


Stephen King

  • 4-6 2B R—.292 5 HR 30 RBI


Angel Villalona

  • 2-6 2R—.341 8R 4 RBI last 10 games


Zack Cozart

  • 1-4 HR(11) 2 RBI—.308 2 HR 6 RBI last 10 games


Jamie Ortiz

  • 3-5 RBI—.211 11 HR 31 RBI


Jemile Weeks

  • 2-4 3R RBI 2 SB(4)—Starting to heat up over his last couple games


Mike Moustakas

  • 3-4 2R BB—.247 12 HR 42 RBI (I think he’ll be better than this)


Daniel Gutierrez

  • 6.1 IP 5H ER BB 4K—.2-1 2.05 ERA 658K/53IP (watch this guy)


BUY/SELL Analysis

What in the name of Adam Dunn is going on with Cody Johnson this season?  After a torrid stretch late last year at Danville where it appeared that Johnson had cut down the K’s and hit for greater power, he stars in Rome as a human air conditioner.  Johnson has struck out an ungodly 141 times in just 94 games.  Johnson was drafted out of high school in the 1st round of the 2006 draft.  He has solid athleticism, above average speed, great power and a strong RF quality arm.  The problem is Johnson’s makeup at the plate, where he has shown little effort to change his approach or cut down his hole-riddled swing.  On the plus side, Johnson is still just 19 years old and the Braves can afford to be patient with him.  However, Johnson is also a victim of circumstances, as the Braves appear to be loaded to the gills with high quality OF prospects like Jordan Schafer, Jason Heyward, Brandon Jones, Gorkys Hernandez and Jon Owings.  Johnson has 1st year autos in the 2006 Bowman Chrome Draft and Bowman Sterling sets.  While the chromes sell for $13-16 each, the Sterlings are available for about $10-12 each. 

Market Advice: No one doubts Johnson’s immense power potential.  With a 6-4 195 lb. frame, it is quite possible that Cody will add much more brawny strength to his frame.  The strike out numbers coupled with being surrounded by superstar quality OF prospects stand as hugh concerns for me as an investor.  I would have to HOLD on Johnson’s cards and wait to see if he can make significant improvements to his approach in the off season.  I would venture to say that he will repeat at Rome next year, with a promotion to Myrtle Beach pending on his performance.  If he struggles next year, SELL before its too late.  I still like Johnson as a prospect, but my enthusiasm from last season has been tempered substantially.


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