Posted by: portersprospectreport | July 29, 2008

Breaking News: Mark Teixeira traded to the Angels

Vlady and Hunter and Tex OH MY!

Vlady and Hunter and Tex OH MY!

What had been speculated about for the past few days has, indeed come to fruition as free-agent-to-be and Scott Boras client Mark Teixeira was traded from the Atlanta Braves to the L.A. Angels for 1B Casey Kotchman and RHP Stephen Marek.  Let’s look at the market impact for each player.

Mark Teixeira

Back in the A.L.

Back in the A.L.

  • Tex has been a top quality switch-hitting slugger for several seasons now with the Texas Rangers and Atlanta Braves.  This move to the Angels marks the first time in Mark’s career that he will be deeply immersed in a pennant race.  Wow, the middle of the lineup for the Angels looks scary with Tex, Vlad and Hunter.  Teixeira’s RC’s are found in several 2001 products with the most notable ones being his autographs in UD Ultimate Collection (#’ed to 250), SPX (#’ed to 1500), and Leaf Limited (#’ed to 500).  These autos range anywhere from $70 to $200 each and are not really “investments”.  If you happen to have one of these cards, I would venture to guess that their demand will increase as he produces for the Angels down the stretch.  Although, I tend to focus on RC’s in my market analyses, I would guess that some bargains may be found in Tex’s short printed cards (particularly ones with low serial #’s) autographs, and memorabilia cards.  More and more collectors are going to want a piece of Tex and I would venture to guess that all of his cards are going to see a boost in popularity.  The Angels are positioned for a prolonged pennant run and Teixeira will be a big part of it.

 

Casey Kotchman

Time for Kotch to blossom

Time for Kotch to blossom

  • Kotchman has taken a step forward in his long anticipated development as a top quality 1B.  The trade to Atlanta should give him an opportunity to escape from the shadow of the likes of Vladimir Guerrero and Torii Hunter.  Kotchman has a Wally Joyner like quality to his game as he is a good contact high average hitter with decent power.  Historically, AL players that move to the NL tend to have more initial success.  Kotchman should perform well right away for the Braves.  2002 Bowman Chrome Draft is Kotchman’s most widely traded first year card.  Right now, these singles can be acquired for $1.50-2.50 each.  A much better bargain can be found in his 2002 Bowman’s Best cards which are autographed.  These singles are selling for $10-12 each and are much more limited than his chrome cards.  Kotchman is a young 25 in his second full season.  He is quickly approaching his prime and should be a perennial .300 hitter with 20-25 HR and 85-100 RBI a season.  The Braves have a deep and talented farm system that should blossom soon into top quality major league talent.

Side note: What does the acquisition of Kotchman mean for top 1B prospect Freddie Freeman?  Though he is at least two seasons away from Atlanta, he does have the athleticism and arm strength to play in the outfield.  Watch and see what the Braves decide to do.

Stephen Marek

Will he start or finish?

Will he start or finish?

  • Marek began 2008 as the 6th ranked prospect in the Angels farm system and a starting RHP.  Plans seemed to have changed with Marek as he has pitched exclusively in relief at AA Arkansas.  Marek has three above average pitches, a fastball between 88-94 MPH with good movement, a hard 11 to 5 curve ball and improving changeup.  Marek has a very good 57K/47IP ratio and opponents are only hitting .223 off of him.  I am not sure what the Braves plans for Marek are, but if he remains a reliever, his value will diminish.  Currently, Marek’s cards can be found in the 2006 Bowman Chrome Prospects set and are dirt cheap at 25-50 cents each.  Marek is 25 years old and his status as a prospect is becoming tenuous.  My gut tells me that the Braves purchased him with the thought of making him a closer.  Let’s see how that plays out.  All told, at his basement prices, grabbing a few is a low risk investment for sure.

 

This trade is a win-win.  Tex had to be unloaded and the Braves were able to grab two solid major league ready players in return.  This move should lead to several others as many teams were waiting to see who would grab Teixeira. 

 

Your thoughts are always welcome!

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