Posted by: portersprospectreport | August 6, 2008

8/5 High A Minor League Report

AA prospects are my favorite to evaluate because, to me, that is the level that tells alot about whether or not a prospect has what it takes to perform at the MLB level.  Perhaps a close second, though, is High A where the prospects are younger and have yet to have their fatal flaws exposed by more advanced pitching. 

Here’s some of the High A performers from Tuesday night…

Yamiaco Navarro

  • 2-4 HR(10) 2 RBI 2B 2R–Sizzling 13H 6R 6 RBI last 4 games

 

Victor Garate

  • 5 IP 4H BB 4K (W)—7-3 2.11 ERA 123K/94IP

 

Josh Donaldson

  • 3-4 2B 3B—.402 6 HR 24 RBI 1.159 OPS since trade to A’s

 

Matt Spencer

  • 1-4 HR(10) RBI—.452 4 HR 7 RBI 19 H 11 R last 10 games

 

Chris Carter

  • 2-4 HR(30) 3 RBI—.265 30 HR 87 RBI 83 R 61BB/120K

 

Brandon Erbe

  • 6 IP 0H 3BB 7K (W)—Turning things around last 4 starts (super arm and still young)

 

Brandon Snyder

  • 2-4 2B RBI—.342 2 HR 12 RBI last 10 games

 

Ty Wright

  • 1-3 HR(7) 3 RBI 2BB—.353 5 HR 13 RBI last 10 games

 

Taylor Green

  • 2-4 HR(13) 2 RBI—.288 13 HR 68 RBI 57BB/57K

 

Jeremy Jeffress

  • 6 IP H 5BB 2K—4-6 4.08 ERA 102K/79IP (rocket arm but he stay out of trouble?)

 

Ivan Nova

  • 6 IP 5H ER 5K—7-11 4.24 ERA 99K/134 IP (young and big framed Yankees P)

 

Logan Morrison

  • 2-4 R BB—.595 3 HR 8 RBI 22H 10R last 10 games

 

Juan Francisco

  • 2-5 HR(16) RBI—showing signs of breaking out of slump (15BB/105K needs to improve)

 

BUY/SELL Analysis

Baby stepping back to top prospect status

Baby stepping back to top prospect status

 

Brandon Erbe was one of the top young pitching prospects in all of baseball just a couple of years ago.  Last year, Erbe had a nightmarish season plagued by injuries and command issues.  Erbe struggled to a 6-8 record with a fat 6.26 ERA.  Erbe walked 62 struck out 111 in 119 IP at High A Frederick.  This season Erbe repeated High A and the results have been better but not perfect.  Signs of hope can be found in the increase of Erbe’s command (only 42 BB in 127 IP) and his BAA (.219 vs. .274 in ’07)  Erbe has wicked stuff, a mid-90’s fastball, a sharp slider and improving changeup.  While his season has not been perfect, many seem to forget that Erbe is just 20 years old and has yet to fully develop his 6-4 180 lb. frame.  Erbe has cards in the 2005 Bowman Draft and Chrome set which have dipped under $1 in price.  Refractors can be had for $4-5 each.  Erbe also has cards in the Bowman Sterling and Bowman Heritage sets, none of which are autographed.

Market Advice:  Erbe still has time to develop into the pitcher he was projected to be in 2005.  His stuff is electric and he would make a nice addition to a staff that will soon feature Chris Tillman and Jake Arrieta.  If things don’t work out for him as a starter, he has the stuff to be a solid set up guy or closer.  However, I think his future is as a starter and AA will speak volumes about that assessment.  I think his chromes are a solid BUY at $1 each, but I wouldn’t spend more than a total of $20 on his stuff.

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