Posted by: portersprospectreport | August 7, 2008

8/6 AAA Minor League Report

Josh Whitesell

  • 2-4 HR(22) 4 RBI—.543 3 HR 15 RBI 10 BB 10 R 19 H last 10 games


Brandon Wood

  • 2-4 HR(27) 3 RBI 2B—.308 6 HR 14 RBI 12 R last 10 games


Brandon Morrow

  • 1.2 IP H K—1st start for Morrow who is shifting to the M’s rotation in Sept.


Matt Tuiasosopo

  • 2-4 2 HR(9) 3 RBI 3R BB—.375 3 HR 10 RBI 14 R last 10 games


J.R. Towles

  • 2-4 HR(7) 2 RBI—.304 7 HR 22 RBI .951 OPS in 102 AB’s at AAA


Matt Antonelli

  • 2-3 R—3 multi-hit games in last 4 outings has brought BA above .200


Brett Cecil

  • 5 IP 6H 2ER 3BB 7K (W)—much better in his 2nd outing at Syracuse ( played 3 levels in ’08 )


John Jaso

  • 1-4 HR(9) 2 RBI—Hitting .345 2 HR 12 RBI in 14 games at Durham


Josh Anderson

  • 3-4 HR(3) 2 RBI 2 2B 2R—back to back HR games for slap hitter (.422 7 SB last 10 games)


George Kottaras

  • 3-6 2B R RBI—.237 20 HR 59 RBI 54 BB


Daniel McCutchen

  • 7 IP 4H 2ER BB 5K (W)—9-11 3.29 ERA 121K/143IP

James McDonald

  • 6 IP 2H ER 2BB 10K (W)—Superb 1st outing at AAA (6-3 3.10 ERA 123K/124IP)

BUY/SELL Analysis

Who it the real Matt Antonelli?

Who it the real Matt Antonelli?

What a difference a year makes for the Padres 2006 1st round pick Matt Antonelli.  Last season, Antonelli cruised through A and AA hitting .307 with 21 HR 78 RBI and 27 SB, garnering him the honor of being the San Diego’s #2 rated prospect.  This season Antonelli was expected to continue his success at AAA Portland with an outside shot of a late season MLB debut.  Conversely, he has hit an anemic .202 with just 4 HR 29 RBI and 5 SB.  What has contributed to the difference?  Antonelli’s 66BB/72K ratio is excellent and he has remained relatively injury free.  The only thing I can see is that Antonelli is a grinder and competitor who may be prone to putting too much pressure on himself, especially during struggles.  Antonelli has first year autographs in the 2006 Bowman Chrome Draft set which sells for $12-14 each and Bowman Sterling that sells for $9-12 each.

Market Advice: Which Antonelli is the real one?  Conventional wisdom would say that he is not as good as his ’07 stats and not as bad as his ’08 stats.  Given that notion, Antonelli is probably a .260-.275 hitter with 10-15 HR power and 10-15 SB speed.  Antonelli is a decent medium-risk medium-ceiling BUY if you can get his chrome auto at $10.  If you have some of his cards, HOLD and watch to see how he plays in the Arizona Fall League (I am assuming the Padres will send him there).




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