Posted by: portersprospectreport | August 14, 2008

8/13 AAA Minor League Report

Sorry I’m a little late getting this out.  I’ve been entertaining family from out of town.

Neil Walker

  • 2-3 RBI—.306 5 RBI last 10 games (not spectacular, but it’s progress)

 

Ross Ohlendorf

  • 8 IP 4H BB 3K (W)—Bucs making him a starter again, nice outing

 

Drew Stubbs

  • 2-4 HR(6) 2B RBI 2R BB—Great AAA debut, rising fast

 

Travis Snider

  • 2-4 RBI—8-19 HR 7 RBI 7 K’s in 5 games since promotion to Syracuse

 

David Price

  • 4 IP 7H 3ER 6K (L)—1st career loss comes in AAA debut (won’t derail him)

 

John Jaso

  • 2-4 2 2B 4 RBI—.319 2 HR 19 RBI in 20 games at Durham

 

Luke Hughes

  • 3-3 RBI 2B  2R BB—.317 17 HR 51 RBI over two levels

 

Josh Anderson

  • 2-4 HR(4) 4R SB( 38 )—467 3 HR 8 RBI 8 SB 12 R 21 H last 10 games (slapping ’em farther)

 

Jess Todd

  • 6.2 IP 4H ER BB 6K (W)—Great AAA debut (pitched at 3 levels this year)

 

Jamie D’Antona

  • 2-5 2 HR(19) 2 RBI—This is a guy that needs an opportunity elsewhere

 

Joe Koshansky

  • 2-4 2B 2R 2 RBI BB—.513 4 HR 16 RBI 15R 20 H last 10 games (see D’Antona)

 

Matt Tuiasosopo

  • 1-5 HR(11) RBI 3BB—.333 5 HR 11 RBI 10 R last 10 games (getting better)

 

Kendry Morales

  • 3-5 2 2B R—.488 3 HR 11 RBI 8 R 20 H last 10 games (can he ever be an MLB regular?)

 

BUY/SELL Analysis

Has the ability to start, but Cards need him in the pen

Has the ability to start, but Cards need him in the pen

Jess Todd was the first round pick of the St. Louis Cardinals out of Arkansas in 2007.  Todd has not disappointed this year.  Advancing 3 levels, Todd has compiled an 8-5 record with a 2.63 ERA and 122K/137IP.  Even more impressive is Todd’s command (only 35 BB) and stingy .207 BAA.  Todd is a stout 5-11 210 lb. right hander with a 90-94 MPH sinking fastball that induces plenty of groundballs.  He also has a plus slider and average changeup.  Many people believe that Todd’s future lies in the bullpen, but his incredible command this season offers some hope that he could remain a mid-rotation starter.  His only 1st year cards are in the 2007 Donruss Elite Extra which features autographs (#’ed to 394) that sell for $7-9 each.

Market Advice: Todd has had a great year at each level and has shown that he has the command and durability to be a starting pitcher.  At the same time, the Cardinals have a truly horrendous bullpen and they may opt to send Todd there, a la Brandon Morrow with the M’s in ’07 and ’08.  Seems risky to me, but if you can snag an auto for $7.00, it could see a short term rise in value, especially if the Cards decide to give Todd a look this season.  Todd seems to be a turn and burn BUY but keep your purchases on the cheap.

Advertisements

Responses

  1. It’s tough to prospect on pitchers, only Joba and Hughes (sort of) have panned out. You are a brave fellow.

  2. Pitchers are indeed risky ventures. Surely those that own Clay Buchholz cards are kicking themselves for not selling last season.

    Todd will be a nice short term buy that could garner a few bucks profit as I think he will be a solid addition to the Cardinals and is close to making a debut. I would not buy and hold long term with him as all reports that I have heard are that he will be a late inning hurler.

    I will stand by my market advice to grab him on the cheap and be ready to sell once he debuts with St. Louis. Cardinals cards sell well as there is a nice following in the industry.

    Once again Mike, you have played well as my foil!


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Categories

%d bloggers like this: