Posted by: portersprospectreport | August 24, 2008

8/22 Low A Minor League Report

Brandon Waring

  • 2-3 HR( 18 ) 2 RBI 2B—.267 18 HR 64 RBI 147 K’s

 

Jonathan Kibler

  • 5 IP 6H 3 ER BB 5K—14-5 1.75 ERA 126K/154IP

 

Jeremy Horst

  • 5.1 IP 6H ER BB K (W)—7-2 2.53 ERA 104K/96IP

 

Jeremy McBryde

  • 5 IP 4H 2 ER 12K—7-8 4.33 ERA 147K/127IP

 

Pat McAnaney

  • 5 IP 4H BB 4K (W)—4-2 0.94 ERA 49K/48IP .190 BAA

 

Mike Moustakas

  • 2-3 2B R BB—.271 21 HR 67 RBI 71 R

 

Jeremy Moore

  • 2-5 HR(16) 2 RBI BB SB( 28 )—.247 16 HR 46 RBI 11 3B 28 SB

 

Robert Fish

  • 6.1 IP 9H 3ER BB 8K (W)—9-4 5.07 ERA 126K/135IP

 

Engel Beltre

  • 1-4 HR( 8 ) RBI—.283 8 HR 45 RBI 84R 29 SB

 

Carlos Hernandez

  • 6 IP 4H ER 6K (W)—7-0 2.10 ERA 66K/73IP

 

Michael Main

  • 4 IP 4H 2 ER BB 6K (L)—3-3 2.79 ERA 57K/52IP

 

Caleb Gindl

  • 3-4 HR(13) 3 RBI 2R—4th consecutive HR game (.415 5 HR 11 RBI 11 R last 10 games)

 

Darin Holcomb

  • 2-4 2 RBI—.316 13 HR 93 RBI 86 R 60BB/60K 44 2B

 

Reid Fronk

  • 2-3 2 HR(15) 2 RBI—.275 15 HR 73 RBI 15 SB 67 BB

 

Jesus Montero

  • 3-4 2R 2 RBI—.320 16 HR 79 RBI 32 2B 79 R

 

Oscar Tejeda

  • 3-5 2R 2 RBI—.366 7 RBI 15H last 10 games

 

Brent Morel

  • 2-3 HR(3) RBI 2B 2R BB—.278 3 HR 6 RBI 8R last 10 games

 

Michael Durant

  • 1-5 HR(17) RBI—.231 17 HR 64 RBI 128K

 

Travis D’Arnaud

  • 3-5 HR(6) RBI 2B—.469 2 HR 5 RBi 9R 16H in 8 games with Lakewood

 

T.J. Warren

  • 3-4 R BB SB(5)—.272 2 HR 30 RBI 5 SB in 62 games

 

BUY/SELL Analysis

Needs oven mitts to hold his bat!

Needs oven mitts to hold his bat!

Travis D’Arnaud was a supplimental 1st round pick of the Philadelphia Phillies in the 2007 draft.  Lauded for his athleticism and arm strength behind the plate, D’Arnaud’s main question areas revolved around his bat.  Some scouts were not sold on his ability to hit professional pitching but his athleticism and projectible frame has promise of producing power as he develops.  This season, D’Arnaud debuted at Short Season Williamsport where he hit .309 with 4 HR 25 RBI and 13 2B’s in 175 AB’s.  His BB/K ratio of 18/29 was very respectible and earned him a promotion to Low-A Lakewood.  D’Arnaud ramped up his production in his first 8 games hitting .429 with 2 HR 5 RBI and 5 BB’s.  While Travis will most likely not maintain this torrid pace, he has done much to dispell the critics of his bat thusfar.  D’Arnaud has his only 1st year cards in the 2007 Bowman Draft and Chrome set.  Similar to other prospects in that set like Corey Brown, Justin Jackson, Ed Easley, Julio Borbon and Kyle Lotzkar, D’Arnaud has both a chrome base card and autograph available.  His base cards are not in high demand right now and can be found in bunches for 25-50 cents each.  His autos are a little more popular, but not in super high demand either ranging from $5-7 each.

Market Advice: D’Arnaud has the tools to advance steadily through the Phillies farm system.  Looking to the future, D’Arnaud really only has Lou Marson blocking him as a potential backstop for the Phillies in the next 3 seasons.  I think D’Arnaud has more long term upside than Marson, though Marson is at this stage much more polished.  I think it is reasonable to expect that D’Arnaud could be a 15-20 HR per season hitter in the major leagues.  That being said, keep a close eye on him to see how he performs next year at Clearwater and, possibly, Reading.  While plucking his cards right now is a speculative venture, my prognosticative gut tells me that $5-7 per auto is the lowest price that you will be paying for his cards for the next few seasons. BUY, BUY, BUY.

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